Wednesday, 17 December 2014

TOUGH TIMES NEVER LAST BUT TOUGH PEOPLE DO

TOUGH TIMES NEVER LAST BUT TOUGH PEOPLE DO.

This statement is very appropriate, if use in the financial world.

I chance upon DWTI, the Velocity 3 X Bear ETF for Crude OIL. 3 X Bull is UWTI.
From this, I quoted 2 days ago in my last post, that the OIL has been dropping by more than half the
price since 6 MONTHS ago(in bold). n it could end at a nice bottom soon, maybe within days.

Time is the essence for any trend line to change direction. Before it changes, it is usually at the stage of utmost euphoric exuberance or the reverse killing field period. These r clearly shown in charts only. Everybody must look at it to preempt error in our next important moves.

The turning point could also happens to coincide with the FOMC meet, now ongoing with their outcome to
be announced at 2 pm NY time.

DOW is promising today, its uptrend resumes.
The needed Rebound could be on the way for KLCI n all global mkts........

Monday, 15 December 2014

WHY is crashing OIL price pulling down Stocks ?

PureBULL . > Dec 16, 2014 10:32 AM Report Abuse 
X
WHY is crashing OIL price  pulling down Stocks ?

A global 'financial war' is on OIL. 
So it can also affect all other 'neighbouring'  liquid asset classes like stocks.

For the last 2-3 years  we had a good bull run on ONG sector. It happened simply because ONG
is the best n easiest business to big profits. In all product cycles, good times has to end n it ends very
rough n ugly.  

The oil production costs r
+ Arab world, Russia                        US$10-20 per barrel
+ Canadian oil sand, US shale oil     US$30-40 per barrel

Looking at this #, How not to be envious of their 'sinful' big profit when times r good.

Stocks r proactively over reacting to the soon to be US$500 billion of ONG junk bonds.
This is the FEAR event if OIL continues to drop n stays below the production cost.

But OIL has been dropping by more than half the price since 6 MONTHS ago. n it could end at a nice bottom soon, 
maybe within days.

The last 'Flush' is always the Loudest !

Need to HOPE for the coming years, though hope is another familiar 4 letter word.

NB: 
China is having a bull run. Could it be the Year of CHINA in 2015 ?

KLCI on fire sale because of 1 imminent insider trading case.

KLCI on fire sale because of 1 imminent insider trading case.

Stock players r on  " Mata Lai, Choww " mode.
Now that the case has been announced, stocks must find some support.
FA experts, what say U ?

1 case should not ' bankrupt ' all the stock prices.

Sunday, 14 December 2014

KLCI shows that msia is the only country in pure blue Bear.

PureBULL . > Dec 15, 2014 11:52 AM Report Abuse X

KLCI shows that msia is the only country in true blue Bear.
WHY ? 

Even the strongest stocks r fast becoming bear.
Only left a hand full of last " Mohigans ".
Wish them good luck. 
Hopefully they can withstand the seemingly endless selling pressure.

Thursday, 11 December 2014

Shall we be Fearful when others r GREEDY ?

 PureBULL . > Dec 10, 2014 10:26 AM Report Abuse X

Shall we be Fearful when others r GREEDY ? 
no or NO. 

1st thing 1st, Consider these : 
A. The 3 mkt 'taiko" r steady eddy. 
B. There seems no damaging Event that could crash the US financial system, meaning no sign of US plc co. with killer money problem as yet.
C. The usual noise in free internet n newspaper media is causing the round of selling. 
D. Sell in may n go away refers to, buy in last 2 days of every October month, sit on it n sell in 1st 2 weeks of following may month. This cycle makes money most of the years. R we not in this same route now ? 

These r the few days of DEC of every year where there r lots of foreign fund re-balancing act. Foreigners r cutting loss on loss stocks n buying back lower again or other better stocks. the nett effect is to pay no or less capital gains tax this year. The loss selling is to nett off with some gain that is edi taken early of the year. Then there is also a chance of heavy window dressing at this month end.

Interestingly, lower oil prices are an unquestioned positive for the global economy. The decline is "like an immediate tax cut to the economy".  These lower energy prices are going to be a boost to consumer demand and confidence going into next years ........

Wednesday, 10 December 2014

OIL has crashed. Isn't it time for all industrialists to get Bullish ?

PureBULL . > Dec 9, 2014 11:47 AM Report Abuse X
OIL has crashed. Isn't it time for all industrialists to get Bullish ?

I always believe there is an invisible Hand that will churn the investment clock among the asset classes. He takes care of the world. He makes sure there is always abundant oil in circulation for all on earth perpetually.

The clock will tick to commodity, esp oil, giving it the bull run with high oil prices. OIL then becomes the best biz to be in. this attracts the greedy investors to willingly put tonnes of resources that unknowingly help to increase future oil supply for the world consumption. n now the world knows there is over supply capacity in the foreseeable future. with this, the oil price is crashing this season.

The good thing is, He wants all the factories in the world to start planning for an increase in activity thus driving up the entire world economy without having any doubt or worry of shortage in oil for the next, maybe 5-10 years in a continuous economic bull run.

so Isn't it time for all industrialists to get Bullish ? yes or YES.

Tuesday, 2 December 2014

This is about the 3 economic "KINGDOMS".

This is about the 3 economic "KINGDOMS".
World economic powerhouse:
# 1. USA
The 3 successive QE printed so much money to more than cover the big monetary hole caused by the US sub prime financial crisis. As a result, the latest GDP showed a comfortable 3.5% annualised growth rate.
DOW recovered completely n went on to make record multiple month highs.

# 2. CHINA
Chinese central bank had just weeks ago dropped a massive interest rate.
The insider who knew about this fiscal development has started pushing up Shanghai stock index in
the last 6 months. It is so bullish that the Shanghai Composite is now up 50% from its recent lowest pt.

# 3. JAPAN
Following US's footstep, Abe's 3rd arrow is pointing to printing Yen like crazy.....
NIKKEI has never been so bullish since 25 years ago.

All 3 'giants' r in safe hands. Shall we also follow suit ?

I begin to nimble this week. Go for the strongest stocks or 'smartest in the class', as always.







Thursday, 9 October 2014

IS STOCK MKT OVER THE BIG PRIMARY CURVE EDI ?

[10/8/2014 9:17:25 PM] : 
... FED saved the hanging in DOW today. very unlikely FED can pull the trick every mkt day.
So take advantage of the rebound n continue to sell at better prices. 
KLCI is in weak zone edi since 3-4 weeks ago. 
..Prices r on the high side n earnings report could zigzag in US. 
so hold for long haul is v dicey. 
Too high risk, the next selldown could be the killer !! 

[1:08:55 PM] : 
<<< Only IF everybody sees a toppish mkt condition i.e. over the hill, then funds will start hitting the panic button. 
n the way out is the BIG Bear will take over the driver seat.


PureBULL . > Oct 10, 2014 10:56 AM Report Abuse X
Seriously speaking, if u r a stock player, u have to do something now or next few days at this very crucial time.
Do it n u can fight another day.
We could just be over to the slope by the very 1st 3 days of the imminent gigantic PureBear of multiple months.


PureBULL . > Oct 16, 2014 10:34 AM Report Abuse X

[10/13/2014 9:45:50 PM :
Our biz here is to protect our 'financial soldiers' = money, especially at this fearful ICU condition. Most have forgotten that we r having good times for too long. This big bull run started from the lowest at Mar 2009 to last till Oct 2014 for 5 n 1/2 years. So when it begins to turn down, it will be very ugly.

We must cut LOSS early.
Ex. I bought YINSON at 295 correctly n saw it went all the way up to high of 351. Being over confident I didn't take the profit then. In a matter of few days it crashed down to 285. My charts told me that the stock mkt could turn turtle anytime. n I must take action very fast. So I sold n cut loss at 285. Now the current price is only at 247 n is not the end yet !
[10/13/2014 9:47:40 PM :
I am constantly inspired by my true guru :
[10/13/2014 9:47:43 PM :
In times like this n at all times, it is best advice to always refer to world best of the best Guru.
He is so kind to put it simply in minimum words n comma :


G SOROS -
"Economic history is a never-ending series of
episodes based on falsehood and lies, not truths.
It represents the path to big money.
The object is to recognize the trend whose premise is false,
ride that trend, and step off before it is discredited"


[10/13/2014 11:11:31 PM :
Do not go in 2 way traffic, want to sell n also want to buy. this action leads to financial accident down the road.
[10/13/2014 11:12:33 PM :
Importantly, can KLCI maintain strength at 1800 ?
IF not, then we might be seeing 1800 for the last time or 2nd best chance to get out well.


 PureBULL . > Oct 20, 2014 10:32 AM Report Abuse X

[10/16/2014 9:32:34 PM] :
DOW 's plunge down is entering a rebound phase. condition is still sensitive to any news flow. The event causing the fear is EBOLA spreading round the world, coupled with earnings disappointment going forward.
So watch out for next news for mkt direction...

The whole world mkt will rebound n so will KLCI.
Take advantage of better prices n sell into strength, like aiming to sell short at peak prices of rebound.

IF possible, be in Cash position. When mkt is stable then restart a brand new portfolio of stocks showing the highest strength i.e. the top scoring stocks in the country.

[10/16/2014 11:38:49 PM] :
In a downtrend weak mkt, every stocks had dropped in prices. Those that dropped the least will still be considered to be in the running for potential Top winning stocks in the next cycle.
These outstanding ones will show up with their prices still above the weekly ema 18 line, even stronger if above week ema 7.
These stocks r few n we can catch them all, weeks later using this strategy.
Old favorites that seem still in good hands r :
MYEG, BHS, LATITUDE, PESTECH, VS,


http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/cube/post/purebull.jsp

Thursday, 19 June 2014

HOW TO FLY A STOCK SUCCESSFULLY

It's worth revisiting the post again.

Click or highlight to go to this link,

http://purebull-bursatrader.blogspot.com/2013/02/how-to-goreng-or-fly-stock-successfully.html


Jun 13, 2014 03:11 PM Report Abuse 

Tuesday, 29 April 2014

WHY will people lose money in penny stocks ?

PureBULL . > Apr 30, 2014 10:25 AM Report Abuse 

X
Quote : "Very painful. very stupid to buy rubbish. let it be the last time to learn not to play with this gangster. but there r so many gangster stocks in msia, has become a 'gangster country', soli for that. "

Quote:" Only now I know why i had been hit by gangsters every cycle in msia mkt." 

simply bcos there r so many gangster stocks onboard. so avoid them all then it will be safe to prosper from this mkt.
IF we take away all these rubbish pennies, it becomes easier n clearer to understand values of higher priced stocks, n there r few.

WHY will pple lose money in penny stocks ? 
bcos it is always syndicated to spike up in a very steep inverted V shape.
it means good times is short ( like love making ) n never last over 3-5 days n end up down all the way n days..... 
Once u decided to cut, it is edi down at least 15%. 
Certainly not feasible to bet on pennies.

It is good to made a commitment to avoid completely stocks priced 
below rm 1.20, unless it has genuine low single digit PE ratio.  
Do remind ourselves always n we will prosper in stocks together ever laughter.                                                                                       
1st confidence must come from  good feel of FA, then  TA shall works  its way up...    


http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/cube/post/purebull.jsp

Wednesday, 9 April 2014

What r the frequencies of DOW's correction n How to Time it well ?

Every Time there is a sell-off in equities n DOW component stocks, the foc financial networks will sound so “panicky” n noisy. 
It is good to learn  a little bit of history lesson on “market corrections”. 
Corrections are a normal feature of the stock market, and they said is healthy for the market's future wellbeing.


Please  be reminded of their frequency. Check out these stats on how frequently mkt corrections occur on average:
[4/8/2014 10:54:43 AM]
Dow's  downward threshold level from its recent highest pt  is  - 450 pt.   
 I  believed we r in option i.
http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/cube/post/purebull.jsp
[4/10/2014 4:57:12 PM] : 
PureBear looks like is edi entering the very door step.  Be decisive to Do n act  whatever is necessary to contain all financial risk.  
Am I hearing, " Mata Lai Lor, Chow " ?
It's most difficult work to do this period simply bcos most never make enough n big.                                                                                                                     
[4/10/2014 10:13:53 PM | 
The really good ones have made all the big money. What direction r they going to take next ?
[4/11/2014 2:45:49 PM] 

1.  - 5%   market corrections: 3x per year.
2. - 10%  market corrections: Once per year.
3. - 20%  market corrections: Once every 3.5 years.
4. - 2.5% market corrections: almost every month.
How To Time It exactly when DOW is changing course ?

At this level, the crossroad is established in 2 ways :                                                                              
 i. If it is profit taking, then it is best time to buy for continued uptrend or                             
 ii. Best time to short, if it is going into 5-10% correction or more.


About Turned !
Yesterday's straight line rebound is being met with a steeper selling today on all fronts.  
DOW closed lower n more than the  critical -450 pts from its peak.  This is  very bearish sign.
Tomorrow's mkt could be at the real crossroad. If it gaps down n stays weak even till 12 noon, hell will break loose.

In hokkien,    " Di gengang takut mati, di lepas takut terbang "

Look at the macro,  i fear DOW n the world all over. change of FED chair is not good for investment.  Ben created a bull run,  Janet is here to send all to the cleaners !  That's what i am so fearful.  the american always have a clear vision n purpose for  new person in charge.

Lull before the storm  is approaching quick sand condition.                                                                   
After they sell enough, somebody is going to pull the rug thus creating an unpleasant news to scare the shit out of everybody.

Sunday, 16 February 2014

What will happen to the market with J Yellen as the new Fed Chair?

Let's read carefully what Mitch Zacks has to offer.

Mitch wrote a weekly column for the Chicago Sun-Times and has published two books on quantitative investment strategies. He has a B.A. in Economics from Yale University and an M.B.A. in Analytic Finance from the University of Chicago.


If there is one thing markets hate more than anything is uncertainty and change. With Ben Bernanke being replaced as Fed Chair by Janet Yellen, the markets are going to have to digest a little bit of both. Although, it’s not exactly like Janet Yellen is unknown. She has been an active policymaker for a dozen years and for decades taught economics at the University of California, Berkeley, but you never know how sitting in that all important position will affect their policy decisions. 

Yellen’s First Test

Yellen faced her first major test this past week when she testified for the first time in front of Congress. Markets were waiting to see how she would handle herself as she faced a barrage of pointed questions from critical U.S. Lawmakers about the Fed’s unprecedented efforts to stimulate the economy and its oversight of banks.

Most likely due to her years of experience, she was able to remain calm under pressure and handle even the toughest of questions in a measured tone that the market liked, as the S&P 500 rallied after the testimony. I believe the reason the market reacted favorably was because it seems like there will be very little disruption from Bernanke’s policy. She showed that she will remain flexible when it comes to tapering QE3 and the decision on keeping the short rate near zero, where it currently sits. Again, the markets hate uncertainty and based on her testimony, it seems like she will keep that uncertainty to a minimum.

Smooth Transition

When Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-New York) pressed her with her with questions about what it would take to cause her to consider pausing the tapering process, Yellen answered the question directly and essentially said the Fed would adjust as needed. This exchange showed she is not just going to stick to a set tapering schedule, but decisions will be data dependent. Nothing is set in stone. However, she did say tapering would remain intact for the time being and wasn’t too concerned about recent weak data on employment. I too am not yet concerned about the recent weak growth in jobs. It’s only two months of data and the overall trend in the long-term is still positive. 

Yellen was immediately put on the spot when House Financial Services Committee Chairman Jeb Hensarling challenged the Fed's wide departure from a decades-old monetary policy rule of thumb that Yellen once called the mark of a "sensible" central bank. He asked “So that begs the question today, using your words, are you a sensible central banker, and if not, when will you become one?" Her reply: "Congressman, I believe that I am a sensible central banker,” showing that she won’t be rattled by Congress, causing her to make decisions based on politics, rather than on economic data. 

In an exchange I found particularly interesting, she was asked repeatedly if the Fed was “enabling” government deficits with its massive bond-buying program, QE3. Again she was firm in the face of the grilling, answering the question in what I felt was a sensible way. “I don't think it would be helpful, either in terms of achieving the objectives that Congress has assigned to us or in terms of Congress' deficit reduction efforts, for us to purposely raise interest rates in order to weaken the economy," she said. “The likely impact of that weaker economy would be larger deficits.”

The Ongoing Emerging Markets Problem

While Yellen made it clear she understands that U.S. fortunes are now intertwined with the global economy, she said the U.S. economy is the Fed’s primary mandate. She said emerging economies don’t pose a serious risk to the U.S. economy right now, then stated the Fed is “monitoring” the situation closely. 

The confluence of events in Turkey, Argentina and Ukraine created a panic and the emerging markets experienced significant correction. However, this is different from the 1990s. Most Emerging markets have higher international reserves and lower debt and thus higher policy power. Fed tapering has created a sense of uncertainty but it was somewhat expected and investors have already rebalanced. To some extent, investors are also asking for structural reforms in many of these emerging countries. 

Emerging markets have been getting hammered with currency issues and high debt levels. Some of this could be caused by the fact that the tapering process is still intact, which will eventually lead to higher interest rates and money to move out of emerging markets and into safer, higher yielding investments. Yellen confirmed that, for the time being, tapering will remain intact which will put added pressure on emerging markets. 

The issues surrounding emerging markets, while I believe are likely overblown, did add fuel to a pullback in stocks that ended on February 3rd. The S&P 500 dropped almost 7% in a short amount of time, but has since rebounded and is almost back to where it started the year. While the situation remains fluid, at this time I agree with Yellen and don’t believe emerging markets will derail the global economic recovery that is underway in most of the developed world.

Putting it All Together

There is an argument that has been called the “Curse of the New Fed Chair,” in which some argue the markets gets more volatile when a new Fed Chair takes over the position as investors grapple with the uncertainty of the new regime. This may have also played a part in the recent pull back we have since bounced back from. But overall, I expect Yellen to be pretty much like Bernanke and expect her to continue the tapering process in a controlled, measured pace. So, as far as uncertainty goes, I believe a lot of that was taken away after her first appearance as Fed Chair in front of Congress. This year may be more volatile than last and we probably won’t see the same huge returns from stocks that we saw in 2013, but this bull market has plenty of fuel left. 



n What's on offer here ? 

http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/cube/post/purebull.jsp

Saturday, 1 February 2014

GONG XI FA CAI to How to Invest for a Living.

WISHING ALL A     HAPPY CHINESE NEW YEAR  &
                          GONG XI FA CAI 
TO A VIBRANT STOCK MARKET AHEAD........




Ever wonder how some people seem to be able
to make money in the market no matter what?

Why some people are successful enough where they can trade for a living?


For some, it seems like a dream, akin to fantasizing about being in the movies or winning the lotto.


But for others, it's not a dream. It's what they do. And there are way more people doing it than there are famous actors or lottery winners.


But it didn't just happen overnight. It took hard work and dedication. But for most, it was likely a labor of love.


What's interesting is that, in most fields where people have reached a high level of success, you'll find that it doesn't necessarily take extraordinary smarts or some ultra-special talent to make it.


It's really just about doing things that have proven to work and then doing them over and over again.


The key is knowing what works.


But you don't need to know everything that works. Just some things that work.


(And at the same time, stop doing things that don't work.)


So what can work ?            Ans: BUY AT last purebear of ALL TIME/NEW HIGH of GroWinG stocks.

n what's GroWinG stocks ?  Ans: ALL TIME/NEW HIGH


n What's on offer here ? 

http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/cube/post/purebull.jsp

Wednesday, 1 January 2014

WHY R THERE SO MANY GREATER FOOLS LOSING MONEY IN THE BULL MARKET ?

Simply because they r all either greater fools or still calling themselves smart.
Why not upgrade yourself to a fool like me n we can make money together.

We r in the same exact endless 'financial war'.
Move quickly to the same strategy, join forces n we will confidently make big money together forever ever laughter again...

Sunday, 29 December 2013

Will January 2014 Be Up or Down?

About this time every year, mkt players and investors begin to talk about the phenomenon known as the January Effect. The theory says that investors will sell stocks in December for tax purposes or money managers will sell stocks at the end of the year as a kind of window dressing to show they are doing something. These same investors will then start buying stocks again in January, causing January to be positive for stocks. It also says if January is a positive month, the year will be a positive one for stocks. However, no month, week or day has any bearing on what will happen during the next day, week or month. There have been many times when January has been a down month for stocks but the year finished in positive territory. The January Effect is not a sound investment strategy.

Some investors do not believe that the time of the year has nothing to do with stock returns. They will tell you the mkt has predictable patterns depending on where we are on the calendar. A very common saying in investing is “Sell in May and go away.” Meaning, you sell your stocks and stay in cash during the summer months and get back in the market in the Fall. Again, some years this might work, other years it will not. Take this year for example. If you had sold in May and gone away, you would have missed out on a lot of gains seen during the summer months n for the rest of the year.

Clearly “sell in May and go away” does not always work as evidenced by mkt returns this past May. The index was up nicely in May. Granted this is just one year, but nevertheless, a rhyme is not an investment strategy and the data bears this out. 


These are research data I read some where. It says May through October are considered bad months in the stock market. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has an average return of 0.20% in May. Not much to write home about. The return for June is -0.10%, which is essentially flat. But in July, the average return jumps up to 0.90%. Clearly July is not a month to miss out on, which you would if you sold in May. August is almost completely flat at -0.04%. Finally, in September, the worst month, the return is -0.60%. Following a sell in May strategy is simply a crude form of market timing. 

Seasonal investing does not work. One month has no bearing on what will happen the next month. The market does not care that it is May or any month for that matter. Some years these types of things might work, but some years they will not. The best way to invest is to look at fundamentals and decide using stock charts to determine where the economy and mkt are headed in the long run.  

Always aim and know how to spot the greatest winning stocks. Unless you feel we have reached the peak of the mkt or the high point in the economic cycle, it is best to just stay invested no matter what time of the year it is. Importantly, ask yourself whether the stocks you are holding now do have the potential and character of a typical great high flying stocks of the country...

Wednesday, 25 December 2013

" Merry Christmas n Happy & Prosperous Brand New Year ahead ........ "

" Merry Christmas n
Happy & Prosperous Brand New Year ahead ........ "

Thank You for reading my posts.

Thank you Fed for helping the economy rebound from the Great Recession with your creative solutions. And now for taking it away before it does more harm than good. 

Thank you DC politicians for harmoniously reaching a budget accord. Please consider doing the same with the debt limit talks early next year. 

Thank you Santa for delivering the goods to stock investors all year long including your latest gifts as we make another new multiple highs... 

And thank you dear friends for tuning in. Truly this is a labor of love for me as I enjoy sharing my sincere advice on the stock market, hoping to empower n improve your financial well-being. 

I should know best. Do not do it alone in the stock market, as we face the same market together everyday with differing results. I channel all my faculty in search of the greatest winning stocks in the cycle. n they r few. My KPI showed I did successfully identified n spotted some really great ones. Take advantage of these n never to reject them 1st. just because of me. Missing them is truly missing the jewel of the country. There can't be that many great stocks coming along.

Good Luck n Warm Regards Always...

http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/cube/post/purebull.jsp

Dec 19, 2013 11:35 AM Report Abuse 
Dec 23, 2013 12:05 PM Report Abuse 

Wednesday, 20 November 2013

KLCI seems heavy at the Top.

 Nov 20, 2013 04:34 PM Report Abuse 

Sunday, 3 November 2013

MYEG is the govman

Nov 4, 2013 11:26 AM Report Abuse