EVERYBODY IS BULLISH

In good times, Prepare for BAD times. DOW's rebound from Feb 11th has sign of Ending.

I will rather take this defensive view now n relook 1 to 2 weeks later to gauge
the strength of the mkt.
This rebound on CI stocks only, gave us the good times. 
We could be at the very tailend of this wonderful rebound of DOW from low of
Feb 11th. I always asked, what happens after REBOUND ? 

BUYING now could be helping others to get out of mkt. 
The better prices could disappear fast n r gone for a long time.
Somebody will shout, lull before the storm. I'm afraid. 
In the US, there is only 1 buyer in DOW stocks: share buy back, to fatten the ceo's pockets.

1 by 1 the mkt favourite stocks r going down below n stay under the daily SMA 200 = big purebear. 
Many followers will start scolding their 'sifu' again. Face it. it's Very tough to
handle downtrend that seems No hope , No U turn as yet. 

I love this: Amore said, "You don’t need to be logical all the time. That’s not
how markets work. So you need to handle the emotion of markets and human beings by reading price action on the charts."

More here:
http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/forum/900000315.jsp?fp=2 

What can we learn & use from the BIG SHORT STORY of John Paulson & taikor Partners ???

  PureBULL . > Mar 12, 2016 03:00 AM | Report Abuse 

X

John Paulson graduated among the very top in his MBA finance program from world # 1 Harvard Uni. He was 1 of a star MD with partial bankrupt Bear Sterns IB. It was his hedge fund client at Bear Sterns that inspired him to go into hedge fund biz after seeing the client making tonnes of money without fail in hedging M&A deals.

A half Jew, John Paulson was the 1st to have the idea that subprime mortgage derivatives will crash. He knew so much about sub prime financing biz. He started shorting subprime in mid 2006 n loss like crazy. He tried many other ways to convince more followers n still no result at all.
Running out of choice, in his last attempt he suddenly thought why not ask for the contact # of that old man and gives him a call.
The old man granted a meeting with him in late 2007 to early 2008. Within 1 hr of his presentation, the old man bought John Paulson's big short story.
Immediately they both went shorting subprime like crazy in early 2008 ...
n the whole investing community followed suit leading to 2007-09 DOW financial crash.

At the end of the story, John Paulson become so famous for making the biggest money per deal in hedge fund history.
Paulson is the record holder making a personal record profit of usd$3.2 billion in 1 single deal.
The old man is 2nd record at usd$2.9 billion. No name was mentioned. So Humble he is.

Do u know who is that 80+ old man? Yes, your G Soros.

Bottom line, follow the smart mkt movers early to aim RIGHT at RIGHT TIMING.
& be sensitive to all things working RIGHT to score in this endless 'stock mkt exam' every cycle, both long n short ...

This is the invincible model :

G SOROS -  "Economic history is a never-ending series of
episodes based on falsehood and lies, not truths.
It represents the path to big money.
The object is to recognize the TREND whose premise is false,
ride that trend, and step off before it is discredited"

G Soros is an uptrend purebull follower n is advising us to focus on the big money.

Jim Rogers -  "Figure out the money and you’ll figure out what’s going on."

Jim Rogers is asking us where is the big money in charts n to find them ourselves.

Making Money with 10 SILOs of Momemtum Stocks Investing in Good Times and Bad

SILO #
1.   + Uptrend is our friend.
      + Charts can tell tomorrow's news Today. Use it correctly to our prosperity.

2.   + Protect the downside, upside will take care of itself.
      + 1st loss is the best loss going down purebear financial mountain.

3.   + In good times prepare for bad times. In bad times prepare for good times.
      + Purebull matures purebear comes n vice versa, Sine wave returns. 
      + They  r 2 Primary Super Bull Run n 2 Primary Super Bear Plunge

4.   + Be sensitive ONLY to all things RIGHT.

      + Foolish to follow the noises of Dr 'Bodoh' in the free internet essays n media news.

5.   + Always have high integrity, be utmost honest, friendly n trustworthy. 

6.   + Forget about price doubling: Achieve 10% gain 1st,  then 26%, 31% CAGR

7.   + In pureBull, it's the sitting that make us Rich, no rocket sciences required. 

      + In pureBear, go short or cash is king. Obey these 2 rules.

8.   + Crashes r caused by 'Black Swan' events. 

      + When all mkt Classes collide, Commodities, Properties, Stocks crash, Investment Clock fails.

9.   + 'Ai hiong hiong, my siong siong' in hokkien.

      + Buy at last small purebear that gives rise to the biggest PureBull. 

10. + Big money is awaiting in the new HIGHs; Blue skies, everything's nice.
      + Take risk n put your hard earned money with the 'strongest n smartest' FA stocks in the country. 
      + Breaks new High, it should fail. Breaks new LOW, it will go lower.

Compare this:

PLC co.        =    Airplane

Stock Price  =   Ticket to fly with fantastic 'stock Pilot" ready in the plane

U r buying the price of the stock i.e. a ticket to fly high, hopefully on a long haul. 

And not buying the co. forever. U don't have the keys to the factory, how can u own part of the co.?
So knowing n acting on price action behavior is more potent.

In this fast pace high-tech world, events n things r changing n happening so fast.

Who says holding long term is the best way to profit in the stock mkt?

Yes, con people like Jordan, the Wall Street Wolf will say that.

In times like this, long term hold could be deadly even before u get to long term.

Mar 5, 2016 05:18 AM | Report Abuse 

Dear cephasyu,
I can share my experiences. I have no right to teach. Everybody like U must be willing to learn it the hard way yourself.
Good experience = make money + in short time frame

Get yourself a good chart program with clean data with adjusted prices for bonus, RI etc.
I subscribe to this data vendor for only rm188 per annum:
http://stock288.com/

Call William Tan's # on his site. I am trying to share. I don't get any com from William neither will he gives me any discount on my yearly sub. fee. TELL him to be nice to me when I ask him to make corrections to wrong prices asap.

Please go to my blog/diary from the beginning at

http://purebull-bursatrader.blogspot.ca/

http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/forum/900000315.jsp?fp=2 

http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/cube/post/purebull.jsp 

in search of the SILOS of Momentum stock investing. Fully Understand every 1 of them in details n put to practice step by step.

Put these into your charts:
EMA 7, 18, 42 n SMA 200
SAR 3 20
MACD, RSI
Candlesticks

It took me many years to back test the combination n finally that is it.
Now given out Absolutely Free for all.

SILO #1: TREND IS YOUR FRIEND

Every chart should look like a profile of mountains.
Try to picture them like a staircase in our house with its steps.

Higher lows steps = go up staircase = Buy on 1st few steps of uptrend
Lower lows steps = come down staircase = Sell on 1st few steps of downtrend
Pretty simple right.
Use these staircase concept to fully understand,
Darvas box theory for your Entry n Exit strategy. U must know your stock's floor n ceiling prices always.
Start with the most recent past greatest winning MOMENTUM stocks,
LATITUD, POHUAT, HEVEA, VS, MYEG, SAM, KESM etc...
Keep staring more at their WEEK charts for days n weeks till u see a similar style or pattern in all of them, esp the weekly MACD, RSI, n EMA lines.
The Easiest of them all to spot the right timing is the weekly MACD at near DC(dead cross) = sell n GC(golden cross) = buy pts.

I called MACD a situpeed method n it's the BEST, though a lagging indicator.
Weekly MACD is a 10 storey buiding, at GC is ground floor n DC, the 10th floor. Which floor level will u jump in to buy n survive to prosper?
In real life, even many FA fellows get the big F jumping in at 10th floor.
Play afool with stocks at about MacD Daily GC with Close price,
C above Daily SMA 200 = Weekly EMA 42.

Once u r expert at this pattern, use it to make money in the next great winning stocks in future up cycles.
All great stocks will fly up this way.

Continue to master with other SILOs. U r good, there u go on your own now.
05/03/2016 04:06

cephasyu > Mar 5, 2016 08:42 AM | Report Abuse 

Wow, thank you pure bull!!
I will read your blog diary for sure. And thanks again for writing so extensively. I'll definitely check the charting program out and read more on technicals

With so many younger fund players, Stock Mkt has become a fast GAME. Is it GAME OVER ?

Watch all the Wall Street movies for their modus operandi. U can really learn from these shows.
Smart money behind the scene will plan every thing. Then they will find 1 super charming sales man 

to sell n road showed the stocks, using those FA #s to charm the audience. This is the only time, FA

reports r so useful. 

By n large, people want u to con them. Use FA, I guarantee u will be super successful to attract tonnes of followers.

Btw con is not a bad word. U must have the necessary talent n skill capable of charming n leading

your audience to do what u want them to do. Absolutely legal.

I encourage everybody to watch the infamous film, fully sponsored by our govman, 
THE WOLF OF WALL STREET. 
Seriously, it's a good show for people who want to know what is behind how stocks go up.
Lots of F--- every where in words n in action. They do that action even in the glass lift. 
Best of all LOTS of PUSSY r shown every minute. 

U get to see how Jordan charmingly promoted n road showed Steve Madden as the greatest shoe maker n designer for ladies. Big difference is when Steve Madden, the co. owner spoke nobody cares to listen.

A same real life story I heard in 1 of the recent CNY dinners.
A friend of my was once upon a time the CEO of a PLC in KLSE. His big boss had an agreement to
place out a sizable block of shares to infamous stock Rapist lau. So the CEO was tasked to do the 
presentation to a group of fun managers in London. My friend prepared so much of impressive slides
on his co. biz model n future base on powerful SWOT. When the meeting started, the fun managers
asked lau, Can or Not ? Lau answered CAN. n the meet was over in 5 minutes.
My friend was completely shocked n awed even till today. He had free trip n holiday anyway.

PureBULL . > Feb 26, 2016 11:25 AM | Report Abuse 

X

Please don't be overly too KOCKY with a bit of FA knowledge.
It's also spelled with a big F knowledge, btw. At some critical pt, It can be harmful to u n others too.
Many of all these green FA fellows who r asked to hold long term will be taken to the cleaners 1 by 1.
Let's wait n see their outcome.

The behavior of this stock is exactly the same as the typical killer stock like SEAL, 2 yrs ago. 

They all displaced only 1 damn big 1st Primary wave n crashed for yrs to come. 
No way they will give u the 3rd wave.
U r buying the price of the stock, not the co. So knowing price action behavior is more potent.
Q Earnings reports can be engineered to show it grows like super growth stock. 
It is usually done to fool the more educated for 4 Q, some even 8 - 10 Q.

When Primary purebear arrives, u only know what happen to the earnings.

Your WB said, After the high tide, U know who is swimming naked.

So for super momentum great stocks, do not hold more than 1 yr n or some for 2 yrs.
GAME OVER is the key. What else do u want ?

Expect the unexpected like SHELL( a murdered plc). A lot of bomb shells could go off this period.

Timing is rule #1. Fish at their bottom

The recent plunge in our 2nd liner stocks were severe. Even mkt mover 
super investor Uncle KYY informed us, that he also encountered margin call. 
The drop in price was swift n drastic.
With prices these low, even pure FA fellows with long term hold could turned
fearful while others might be selectively greedy.
  
Today many of our 2nd liner stocks r all simultaneously lined up at 
MacD Daily GC(golden crossed), signalling a nice bottom was established
to usher in better days ahead.
We can dare to hope for them to sprint up to life 1 by 1.
Let's get back to some work once again.
Take a bit of Risk, enter on dips this week only for super fast trade. 
Or Fish at their bottom when u see deep red colour quotes on our screen.

Understanding timing the mkt could be easier than toiling days trying
to extract, understand, extrapolate n guess the FA #s. 
There exists a simple way to read the mkt. Why r there not many educated 
people interested in looking at it ? Try n u'll like it more, I promise.
FA is good. With TA it is far better.

Have u ever heard this before ?
EX:  It is not so clever to buy VS/HEVEA at 127/137 to see it went to highest
of 169/179 n dropped to 116/116 without selling at its tops.
I 'kena niceely' this senario before n I told myself there must be a better way
to the mkt.
Hope to be surrounded by more like-minded people who believe in timing the mkt.

Simply put, after every purebear, purebull will arise. n the cycle repeats itself.
It's quite like Sine wave we learned in math, except that the 0 axis is wavy n perplex. 
Importantly, we only need to test n master the 3 types of financial waves
forming the Primary, Major n Minor phases of mkt life. Use this to adjust your
core holdings accordingly to long, medium n short term respectively.
Good to have a deep understanding of this mkt Structural Foundation. 

This is called the Stock Mkt Timing Template. U must have 1 that works.

Only on this can we build our financial asset year after year in good times n bad.

Have u ever been into a jungle n wonder how r u going to get out safely? 

The same applies to stock mkt.
At all times, the template helps us in knowing our position or bearing pt of this financial 'jungle'. 
Then we can safely escape all mkt crashes much earlier, if it is about to happen again.

Uncle KYY's list of stocks r 1st to show meaningful Rebound. Where can they go?

I did call a right timing pt for rebound basing on DOW's movement.

Mkt darling stocks r back to life again. They r mostly Uncle KYY's
stocks. The rebound could be substantial this time. 
Good to see smiling faces around while still celebrating CNY.

The retracement targets could be located at Fibonacci ratios :
38%, 50% or 62% 
However, these #s are only useful for estimating areas of resistance.
Use it for trading guidance.

HAPPY & PROSPEROUS CNY 2016. But be EXTRA CAREFUL WITH STOCK MKT for rest of this year.

After multi years of purebull run since Mar 2009, DOW had seen its 
current record peak set in May 2015.

History always repeat in a similar fashion in stock mkt.
When DOW peaked, mkt will fall in stages leading to a deadly crash.
On average this purebear primary phase takes between at least 1 year to even
2 years to complete. So we can start counting from May 2015 onward. 
To spot n call the final bottom between 1 yr to 2 yrs is a difficult task to
achieve. This is the time period most fearful of by stock players, both
investors and traders too. 
IF u can have a way to catch this bottom like in Mar 2009, u r the 
perfectionist for the stock mkt. 
Then CASH is king. It enables u to buy anything especially very good A-ones at cheap prices. 

Meantime, do something to safe guard your portfolio.
To corporate CEOs, be careful not to commit big borrowing, M&A, or 
begin a big project during this phase.

To all my READERS, friends n relatives, GOOD LUCK ........

Investors' turn to hate split/bonus of HEVEA, VS, TOPGLOV etc. tis the Correct way to BONUS issue

Jan 11, 2016 06:07 AM | Report Abuse 

Mkt is testing the strength of cos. post extra large split n bonus issues.

The chips of  HEVEA, VS, TOPGLOV ...  etc r dropping fast like domino pieces.

This hangover is the after effect of over supply of their split n bonus shares in bad times.

All fanatic FA fellows said that there is zero organic value to split n bonus issue in the long term. To a certain extend, I agree with them but not on the speed of price increase in immediate term.

i. A very good case study to do is that done and operated very well by the AIG before the deadly sub-prime crisis.

Hank Greenberg, a clever Jew engineered an explosive rise of AIG in its hey days.
Imagine this, AIG was rated 3 big A, AAA. Msia as a country garnered a mere Bcc or lower, I guess.
I learned that AIG's scripts count only doubled in 5 yrs as the earnings increased in tandem.
AIG had a superb CF advisory who had prior market knowledge learned from study done by Harvard biz school, i.e. 3 small bonus issues in 5 yrs.

Each time AIG stock price went above USD$100-150, a bonus issue was announced. After ex the lower price will gradually moved up n up to above 100 to 150 range. When this was achieved, a small fraction of bonus issue was again announced. 

I remembered reading AIG's announcements on the 3 bonus issues. The letters written on 3 occasions were almost the same word by word and line by line. The only difference was the date, the # or ratio of bonus issue. This co. seems to be run mechanically.
This simple and safe way to wealth creation is set in motion.
Simply incredible, IF high priced co. like LATITUD wants to follow this amazing duplication plan.

ii. We want funds to hold plc like LATITUD forever.
Many funds in Msia are not allowed to buy fresh stocks below Rm2. More so among the foreign big spenders.
So stocks with prices below rm2 after over size generous split n bonus issues, beware.
The funds might begin to get out when the mkt gets tough or co. transaction is questionable.
New funds are very unlikely to come in. So there goes the demand for their scripts and stocks out-performance going forward. 
Once upon a time, the fastest growing plc in msia, KNM was forced to experiment with a reverse split. But the funds fraternity did not trust the co. anymore. 

iii. Free Warrant issue provides immediate 'steroid' effect to fast reward but the earnings dilution is forever. Unless the earning growth is super fast enough, the valuation has to come down.

Warrant issue is best done during purebear bad mkt condition. 
GAMUDA with 3 right timing warrant issues, did it very well during its growing years.